Andrew McAfee's Blog - Latest Comments in Technology Beats a Full House

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Re: Technology Beats a Full House

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Re: Technology Beats a Full House

Smartwatch Circle — Sun, 28 Dec 2014 04:13:08 -0000

very interesting, I will read other articles that are not less interesting, thank you for sharing it ...
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Re: Technology Beats a Full House

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Re: Technology Beats a Full House

detox kit — Wed, 22 Sep 2010 03:22:37 -0000

You should sell your formula to one of the big banks - or just get rich trading undervalued IT stocks based on their EBITDA and market cap/revenue numbers!

Re: Technology Beats a Full House

honeymoons — Tue, 21 Sep 2010 11:42:20 -0000

Great read. Do you mind if I reference this in our next newsletter?

Re: Technology Beats a Full House

casusbocek — Sun, 16 May 2010 06:52:57 -0000

My initial reaction was similar to Brian's. David Meerman Scott titled his most recent book 'The New Rules of Marketing' despite the obvious risk of losing the crowd of marketers who continue to believe that the rules have, and will not, change.

Re: Technology Beats a Full House

detox kit — Sat, 27 Mar 2010 09:49:53 -0000

I really wanted this article to be better and tell me SECRETS, oh well.. My site detox kits

Re: Technology Beats a Full House

mikeschrock — Wed, 27 Jan 2010 19:47:59 -0000

Industries per se do not compete against one another. So while high vs low IT industry spread is interesting and IT advantage theory potentially proven out here, the intra-industry competative HI Low spreads would yield a more persausive argument for you all.

Re: Technology Beats a Full House

designersunglasses — Mon, 13 Jul 2009 02:22:08 -0000

Thank you for your article. That was a very interesting article. Charts make it even more easier to understand current scenario. Also appreciate the content of the article. Thanks Again.

Re: Technology Beats a Full House

chinesedemocracy — Sat, 11 Jul 2009 23:13:22 -0000

Andrew.

That was a very interesting article -- fun to read and resulted in a real 'eye opening' moment.
The charts make it even more easier to understand the points you have made in the IT industry,
cheers

http://chinesedemocracyforu...

Re: Technology Beats a Full House

allergy symptoms — Fri, 03 Jul 2009 10:03:57 -0000

Nice post. Very informative. Profit & revenue margin chart helped me a lot to understand the current sceneio.

Re: Technology Beats a Full House

Julie Harris — Tue, 30 Jun 2009 22:20:12 -0000

Nice charts! I just discovered this blog and I wished I had used this in my references to show that graphs do help the reader understand the facts.

Re: Technology Beats a Full House

Eric — Mon, 22 Dec 2008 16:58:19 -0000

Nice insightful quantitative analysis Andrew.

Can you share any additional information on what industries are included in "high IT" and "low IT?" It would be very useful to get an industry by industry breakdown of this analysis and see if the same trends occur in specific industries. The data should be readily available, I'd imagine.

Either way, very useful insights.

Re: Technology Beats a Full House

essay writing — Thu, 04 Dec 2008 07:11:59 -0000

Is this the kind of research that could really put IT in the focus of all managers in all industries? Is there a similar trend visible in the Finnish corporate Â“ecosystemÂ”? How about the the impact of web technologies Â– are they giving the phenomenon an added boost or levelling the playing field?

Re: Technology Beats a Full House

Bunster B — Fri, 31 Oct 2008 15:03:16 -0000

The graph do help me read this article more well, moreover this article is well written about the IT industries.

I also appreciate the content of the article.

Regards,
Bunster B

Re: Technology Beats a Full House

OPSEC — Tue, 05 Aug 2008 01:14:09 -0000

I appreciate this well thought out and well organized information. The graphs alone will really help me "make the case" with management.

I would think that one of the most important IT expenditures, however, would be security and training. It's a sad state when a teen in his mom's basement can "out-IT" many network admins.

Re: Technology Beats a Full House

Jake Kaldenbaugh — Thu, 31 Jul 2008 12:54:26 -0000

Thank you for posting this Andrew. This is a thought-provoking analysis that really starts to put the debate into hard numbers. But another round of analysis is required to truly link it to corporate strategy. You've illuminated the link of sector performance and IT, but it still remains to be proven that individual corporate advantage can be driven by IT spend. As IT has been a secular trend over the last 20 years, the idea that they would have outsized profits and growth leading to higher valuations is not unexpected.
An analysis that goes a level deeper and drills into certain industries you identified as being "IT lite", identifies variations even within this group based on technology spend or utilization and links it to similar performance spreads would be definitive. However, this task would be much more archaeological in nature and I'm not sure that the data sets are easily obtainable. But this will help answer the question of whether you can gain a technology advantage as a firm, not just by industry.
Once that question is settled, the next question that naturally pops up for any current or would-be CEO is: What are the characteristics of the firms that leverage IT effectively and are there implications for my organizational design and development? In other words, if I believe in 'if', then I want 'how'.
Regardless, thank you for presenting a great lens to view this debate with and putting together such thought-provoking data.

Re: Technology Beats a Full House

Pete — Tue, 22 Jul 2008 21:15:24 -0000

Very invigorating article. Thank you for sharing with us. It helps to see the different between high and low IT industries graphed out. Adds extra relevance.

Re: Technology Beats a Full House

Jonathan Grudin — Tue, 22 Jul 2008 01:39:41 -0000

"the triumph of ideology over evidence" (whose phrase is this, does anyone know?).

I don't know the origin of that phrase, but an early and eloquent (if longer) account of the idea is here:

The human understanding when it has once adopted an opinion (either as being the received opinion or as being agreeable to itself) draws all things else to support and agree with it. And though there be a greater number and weight of instances to be found on the other side, yet these it either neglects and despises, or else by some distinction sets aside and rejects; in order that by this great and pernicious predetermination the authority of its former conclusions may remain inviolate. And therefore it was a good answer that was made by one who when they showed him hanging in a temple a picture of those who had paid their vows as having escaped shipwreck, and would have him say whether he did not now acknowledge the power of the gods, Â“Aye,Â” asked he again, Â“but where are they painted that were drowned, after their vows?Â” And such is the way of all superstition, whether in astrology, dreams, omens, divine judgments, or the like; wherein men, having a delight in such vanities, mark the events where they are fulfilled, but where they fail, though this happen much oftener, neglect and pass them by. But with far more subtlety does this mischief insinuate itself into philosophy and the sciences; in which the first conclusion colours and brings into conformity with itself all that come after, though far sounder and better. Besides, independently of that delight and vanity which I have described, it is the peculiar and perpetual error of human intellect to be more moved and excited by affirmatives than by negatives; whereas it ought properly to hold itself indifferently disposed towards both alike. Indeed in the establishment of any true axiom, the negative instance is the more forcible of the two.

-- Francis Bacon, First Book of Aphorisms (1625)

Re: Technology Beats a Full House

Oliver Young — Sun, 20 Jul 2008 20:54:56 -0000

Hi Andrew, I believe you and I started some of this dialogue in the comments of your blog about a year ago when you put out the last major article, but I'm curious if your thoughts have changed given this analysis.

The big question in my mind is if this "rule change" -- which I think is an apt metaphor -- is a one time shot, with an eventual return to a decreasing standard deviation over time -- like MLB -- or if IT investment is more volatile, never allowing IT intensive industries to settle down due to seemingly constant rule changes -- like the NHL in recent years.

My inclination is to think that process automation in the 1990's was a major rule change, eCommerce another, and most other IT investment something more akin to the DH rule, but your data seem to point otherwise. What is your take? Does the current trend of increasing spread continue?