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The S Word
I agree that the Empty Quarter is going to be hard to convert...but time will do that on its own (ie., the youth rising)...and a little web 2.0 training for those who don't 'get it' can't hurt either.
Think about a big corporation replacing their corporate directory with a social network with similar features to Facebook (profiles, network building, ad-hoc group creation, etc.). Employees will have no choice but to adopt in some fashion. AND THIS IS COMING!
I know that you don't like the idea of 'forced E2.0'...or in fact that the word 'force' is inherently contrary to E2.0. But when there is only one primary system to use for certain functions (and it happens to be a platform rather than a channel), then what happens?
Or what if you turn channels into platforms without the end-user having to change their activity. Example - capturing email groups into message boards, or emails directly copying blogs as posts.
Just a few thoughts to ponder,
Adam
5 years is actually a rather short time when it comes down to it... especially when people are busy doing their everday business.
I guess time will tell - nevertheless, as an Enterprise 2.0 hopeful, I am going to worry deeply about adoption for the near future.
Its moving very fast of late. While I agree that it'll be some time before the social computing aspects of E2.0 are broadly embedded but my experience is that the resistance to E2.o in general is abating.
1) Go try out what we have at our disposal. Start a blog, comment on others' blogs, bookmark sites, tag people, check out the wikis, meet people in other organizations and geographies who have interesting things to say and who might give you insight, help you build upon an idea, be more effective in your consulting. Do not talk to your client about this stuff in the abstract!
2) Any discussion about investing in enterprise2.0 must be tied to business value. What are the client's pain points and how can the technologies help them improve speed, reduce costs, improve customer satisfaction, improve employee morale? If value is not clear, the conversation is a non-starter. I recommend the use of scenarios to help companies figure it out. Also, I believe companies that do figure this out will have a leg up on their competition.
3) Adoption will not be easy. I talk about past technological frontiers and how when we first encountered them we had no idea how they would turn out. The continuum of leaders, followers, and naysayers were all there...and look we're still laughing at the email printers. So, just as we had people teaching people how to program their voicemail, use a mouse, and set up folders in their in-box, we're going to need to help people use the web2.0 stuff too. It may be intuitive for the kids and the enthusiasts, but for a lot of really intelligent people their brains click off when confronted with yet another new thing.
4)Finally, you're right, heavy handed approaches are not the way to drive adoption! But in all honesty, half the battle is awareness. Despite 10's if not 100's of thousands of people using these technologies at my company, I'm continually amazed to still find people say, "now, what exactly is a (fill in the blank with your favorite 2.0 app)?
Your post has given me a number of new things to think about, and it validates some of my ideas...I just wish you'd written it a couple of days earlier. Cheers!
To extend the KM metaphor. Lots of organisations are doing KM-style projects. They might not call them that but they are. The critical change is that they are now much more targeted around a specific issue rather than just "knowledge sharing".
So I am pretty much in agreement with Andrew. E2.0 take up will be patchy. There will be some loud successes. And many more quiet disappointments.
And 5 years down the track, we will be doing E2.0 stuff - we just won't be using that term. And we'll be a lot smarter about what does and doesn't work (hopefully).
It is possible that E2.0 will follow the steps of KM. However, I think there is one bright shiny example of E2.0. A success story so great, that it will encourage companys to continue working on adopting E2.0 technologies - The internet.
When companies realize that it is not the technology but the reward-structure and culture that makes the internet bloggers and wiki-workers produce all these ideas and insights, some of them will probably make the cultural shift that will allow knowledge sharing to emerge.
You can find an excellent article on how organizational culture prevents knowledge sharing on Peter-Anthony Glick blog.
http://leveragingknowledge.blogspot.com/2007/03...
Wiki's for example may have a higher adoption rate because of their strong measurable tie in to business value. Blogs on the other hand make several organizations nervous because of legal implications, confidentiality, "un-productiveness", etc... The E2.0 suite of tools will look different then W2.0, as organizations morph the concepts and tailor them to business needs. To suggest that internal corporate blogging is inevitable may be true, but to what extent? For example, personal websites became popular in W1.0 as a means of expression. I suspect we would have seen the same empty quarter picture here with recent grads & techno-savvy individuals building their personal sites. It didn't translate directly into the enterprise. Internal sites are often goverened, not personal, branded, etc... Even policies on access to the Internet varies across companies. Will this happen to blogs? Will we govern them and lose the value of transparency? Is it restricted technology?
How we persue adoption has direct implications on what we adopt. I don't see it being the same across all organizations, and therefore as a practitoner, these early years are key to setting up the framework adoption upon which we will grow in the next 5 years.
However I do still feel that there is an inevitability about the underlying expectations that drive the changes we are seeing and that they will become pervasive whether companies like it or not. Yes there will be those for whom it will never work and those for whom it will work only a little but for the rest there is huge and exciting potential. All those of us involved in this space can do is make it happen more easily and possibly slightly faster and IMHO the way to do that is being understated, patient and persistent.
Perhaps rather facetiously I just wrote on my blog - "It struck me as funny to turn something into a thing when it doesn't need to be and to then make that thing seem harder than it needs to be!"
History supports your concern about adoption of Enterprise 2.0 tools. The closest analog we have to E2.0 is knowledge management--another set of tools and processes designed to stimulate sharing and collaboration across enterprises. What we've learned there is that, with a few notable exceptions, adoption is a *huge* issue. That's because the incentives to collaborate (reputation enhancement, pats on the back, the warm glow of sharing what you know) do not typically outweigh the personal costs (loss of privileged knowledge status, increase in unwanted phone calls, etc.)
So is E2.0 sufficiently different from knowledge management that it will avoid KM's fate? The E2.0 technology doesn't do anything to reduce the personal costs of collaboration. But it does deliver certain personal benefits that knowledge management never could: reduced email levels, enhanced findability of critical content, automatic backup of critical files, etc. Will these benefits allow E2.0 to clear the adoption bar that knowledge management so ungracefully crashed into? I suspect the answer is that it will for some enterprises, but not for others. And I suspect the outcome will have more to do with how the enterprise works than with the age or flickr habits of its workers.
Now, a few years to the wiser, I suspect that a tipping point will be reached, driven by a combination of societal behavioral change (already happening), new blood into the workforce and younger, prolific enterprise leaders (who've already crossed the tech/behavioural Rubicon) setting an example. The value proposition, privacy and security issues are distractions, which will get solved, as they did when email got introduced.
So then the question for me is how do I influence the pace at which we (my firm) take the plunge?
I want to focus where there's passion, particularly if that happens to coincide with organisational influence (new intake and leadership) and to let the evolving networks do the leg work. There was a time when only academics used email and the Internet (10 years ago?) and look where we are today......
In your post, you point out that users will vote with their feet and adopt only those technologies that make the most sense for them and that are easy to use. I would go one step further - in a corporate environment (unlike for the Internet at large), there are forces that will actually *obstruct* the rapid adoption of cutting-edge technologies - very often, the IT departments of large companies fall in this category.
The reasons are not particularly sinister - the problem is that the risk-reward profile for the IT group is often quite different (and in conflict) with that of the Enterprise at large; they have little to gain, and a great deal to lose, by encouraging early adoption of risky new technologies, even if those technologies could provide an overall competitive advantage in the medium term.
I recently posted a graph of these differing risk profiles here, on the Software Abstractions blog:
http://blog.softwareabstractions.com/the_softwa...
A Pew survey from last year stated that 19% of US 12-17 year olds blog (& 8% of adults).
Not bad but compared to SMS penetration among consumers (76% in the US for 18-24 year olds) - kinda punny.
http://www.pewinternet.org/pdfs/PIP Bloggers Report July 19 2006.pdf
http://psmsus.blogspot.com/2007/01/us-sms-penet...
So what I am saying is: Even in the consumer space, the use of these technologies is promising but not inevitable.
Bradley Horowitz represented this best with his 1-10-100 pyramid:
http://www.elatable.com/blog/?p=5
Email feels archaic in comparison to the web services I use for my social life. Why would I want my comms with colleagues to be disjointed, un-tagged, and un-attached from rich personal profiles? These are people I work with, not email addresses.
If someone could just take the principles of Facebook, inc. the 'Live Feed', they'd have a tool I'd use and recommend to others. If you're a E2.0 developer, please, look at Facebook, analyse the transactions and artefacts that initiate the respective transactions, and convert the whole thing to work with docs, presentations, spreadsheets, and most importantly, rewards.
My blog post on this:
http://www.rossdawsonblog.com/weblog/archives/2...
link to my post:
http://netjmc.typepad.com/globally_local/2007/0...
More data: http://www.pewinternet.org/pdfs/PIP_Web_2.0.pdf
It seems to be around 30% of US internet users have played around with something that Pew labels Web 2.0ish.
Based purely on observation & guesswork, there are probably around x3 regular comment posters per internal blogger (or participants) and about x10 people who are aware that this activity is going on. Unless that blogger is the CEO.
To what extent do power laws apply inside the firewall?
And does anyone have more robust data?
(Please excuse me, I am a stats junky)